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That estimate arrives courtesy of Macquarie and is well ahead of the research firm’s previous estimate of $169 billion in 2026 taker volume.
Takers is a prediction market industry colloquialism for the market participants that swiftly fill buy and sell orders, thus removing liquidity from the marketplace. Conversely, makers are the market participants viewed as liquidity providers and professional or sharp money.
“Recent launches, including customizable same-game parlays (SGPs), further support our view that Prediction Markets (PM) are increasingly converging with traditional sportsbooks,” observes Macquarie analyst Chad Beynon. “As a result, we now estimate total US PM taker volume to reach $190 billion in 2026E (vs $169 billion prior).”
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Lula said he intends to discuss the matter with his team and analyse potential measures to consider the social impact of online betting.
What the president does not acknowledge is that the government relies on revenue from the sector. In just the first seven months of 2026, BRL8.747 billion generated by sports betting has already flowed into public coffers. The Federal Revenue Service estimates the total could reach BRL16 billion by the end of the year. In 2025, nearly BRL9 billion was collected from sportsbooks.
The burning question is where such funds will come from if Lula shuts down the betting industry. Yet, no one points out to him that players will simply migrate to the illegal market. Betting will continue to exist, but without formal tax revenue, oversight or player protections.
About Club Tropicana Happy Hour
Relax Gaming has expanded its reach in the regulated gambling market in Denmark with the introduction of the Dream Drop product locally. The popular supplier and aggregator of award-winning content has signed a new partnership with FDJ UNITED.
The partnership extends the feature to Unibet and Maria Casino, which are part of the FDJ UNITED group. Relax Gaming Jackpot Business Owner Alastair Smith has welcomed the opportunity to collaborate with the group on this launch, adding:
“We’re delighted to announce the launch of Dream Drop in another regulated market. The Danish player profile is an excellent fit for the unique jackpot experience that Dream Drop offers, and early results have exceeded expectations.”